Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.670865 1.926310 2.207291 2.539247 2.920707 3.345356 3.854031
2025-05-04 1.352647 1.697212 2.108634 2.635951 3.293940 4.088146 5.120195
2025-05-11 1.108549 1.496446 1.993588 2.677153 3.592826 4.777688 6.429014
2025-05-18 0.895040 1.289061 1.826692 2.613337 3.735254 5.278894 7.567265
2025-05-25 0.718844 1.097194 1.643235 2.487926 3.762111 5.614104 8.515304
2025-06-01 0.614252 0.988165 1.555903 2.479517 3.945174 6.183599 9.869172
2025-06-08 0.522883 0.882792 1.455326 2.430791 4.052326 6.643705 11.109457
2025-06-15 0.485023 0.856066 1.472137 2.567318 4.467197 7.632397 13.320024
2025-06-22 0.437778 0.805493 1.440996 2.616513 4.738713 8.414414 15.282510
2025-06-29 0.387008 0.740570 1.375136 2.593712 4.877847 8.981416 16.936133
2025-07-06 0.330743 0.656977 1.263909 2.471674 4.817797 9.181704 17.941575
2025-07-13 0.309967 0.637699 1.268343 2.565984 5.172572 10.181536 20.570911
2025-07-20 0.293506 0.625948 1.288159 2.698255 5.629554 11.453432 23.944480
2025-07-27 0.272049 0.600911 1.278444 2.770179 5.976545 12.557064 27.138715
2025-08-03 0.248678 0.568317 1.248734 2.796150 6.231666 13.507645 30.147596
2025-08-10 0.219673 0.518948 1.176601 2.720122 6.256569 13.978540 32.188497
2025-08-17 0.190114 0.463778 1.083960 2.584640 6.129283 14.101179 33.466539
2025-08-24 0.173041 0.435345 1.047609 2.573137 6.283257 14.866830 36.319170
2025-08-31 0.155374 0.402811 0.997222 2.521069 6.333889 15.401140 38.697083
2025-09-07 0.150949 0.402706 1.024309 2.661733 6.871141 17.147260 44.252807
2025-09-14 0.141762 0.388972 1.015980 2.712216 7.190027 18.405558 48.761123
2025-09-21 0.129703 0.365835 0.980753 2.688306 7.314759 19.197723 52.182033
2025-09-28 0.114210 0.331022 0.910514 2.561700 7.151632 19.236654 53.626845